Patriots (+3, +160) @ Chiefs -180 | O/U = 56
The weather forecast has moved up to a balmy 26 degrees at kickoff. Not too terrible. It’s the Patriots in their 8th straight championship game, which is undeniably impressive, but I do think it’s fair to poke holes in them as playing in a division populated by incompetent teams. With nobody else in the division winning even 10-11 games in, like, forever, New England always gets that home game to start the playoffs, so they only need win one or two extra “tough” games at some point during the season to get that bye. But all that just sounds like sour grapes, I realize. Hats off to the Patriots, who have had a dynasty like nobody else in the modern era of the NFL and that probably won’t be equaled.
But they have been ordinary in road games, as in 3-5, and they’ve lost both of their road championship matchups during this eight-year run. So they’re mortal, and they’re facing a team that played great — and really great at home — all season long. Without much pass rush, can they get much pressure on Patrick Mahomes? Can they contain Tyreek Hill (they didn’t the last two meetings)? Can they slow down what’s been one of the league’s best pass rushes?
🤓🏈 #Patriots 3-5 SU on the road this year: Only 1 good road win at Chicago.
Good and tough as the Patriots are, I believe in Patrick Mahomes. He has a long, long way to go before anyone should call him one of the best or anything, but if you watched him play this season, you saw him do things on the football field that you hadn’t seen many (any?) other quarterbacks do. I see him getting time, finding time, or making time to hit some short throws to his running backs and tight end, longer throws to Hill and to a lesser extent Sammy Watkins. I think it’s going to be
Kansas City 27, New England 20.
The Chiefs have not been to the Super Bowl since 1969. That streak ends today.